-
- Interest Rate4
- Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Inflation Expectations3.4
- Retail Sales MoM0.6
- GDP Growth Rate3.8
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI52.2
- Services PMI 55.2
- Unemployment Rate4.3
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 0.1Inflation Rate MoM
- Inflation Expectations
- 0Retail Sales MoM
- 1.1GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 51.2Manufacturing PMI
- 52.9Services PMI
- 5.2Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2025-10-31 16:33 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot:
S1:
S2:
S3:
R1:
R2:
R3:
USDCNY, Retail traders Sentiment
USDCNY, Retails Liquidity history
>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous -12,894
Current -10,344
Changes +2550 20%Net Positions:
Previous 0
Current 0
Changes + %
Licensed User access
Base: USD
Interest rate: 4%
U.S. 10Y Bonds: 4.101 , chg: 0.004 (0.100%)
Fundamental Bias: Neutral --
Fundamental Score: -4
COT POS: USD: -10344 pos, last change: 20% (2550 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 0%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (): 0
Quote: CNY
Interest rate: 3%
Bonds, China 10Y: 1.745 , chg: -0.017 (-0.960%)
Fundamental Bias: 0 0
Fundamental Score: 0
Retail Long pos ratio: 0%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (): 0
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Neutral
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 4%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)
Bullish
People's Bank of China (PBOC) rate: 3%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: May 20, 2025 (-10bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate4
- CPI y/y3
- Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Producer Prices Change2.6
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.2
- Consumer Price Index CPI325
- Inflation Expectations3.4
- Retail Sales MoM0.6
- Core Producer Prices MoM0
- GDP Growth Rate3.8
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI52.2
- Services PMI 55.2
- Non Manufacturing PMI50
- Unemployment Rate4.3
- Employment Rate59.6
- Initial Jobless Claims218
- Non Farm Payrolls22
- Average Hourly Earnings0.3
- ADP Employment Change0
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence53.6
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE0
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 0CPI y/y
- 0.1Inflation Rate MoM
- 0Producer Prices Change
- 0Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 103Consumer Price Index CPI
- Inflation Expectations
- 0Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 1.1GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 51.2Manufacturing PMI
- 52.9Services PMI
- 50.1Non Manufacturing PMI
- 5.2Unemployment Rate
- Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 90.45Balance of Trade
- 89.2Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 5TOTAL SCORE
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
- Government shutdown.
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
USDCNY Analysis
Introduction
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve policy is Dovish with the (FED) current Interest rate 4%. Latest change was Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the People's Bank of China policy is Dovish and (PBOC) has set its interest rate to 3% by latest change, May 20, 2025 (-10bp).
(FED) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in USD. This tends to attract foreign capital into USD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of USD is -- Neutral
Ziwox considering Moderate Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for USD is -4. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term downside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "New York", Market risk sentiment is Strong Risk-OFF. The United States Dollar and Yen recorded the strongest performance, while the Gold and New Zealand Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a -1.15% decrease against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been -0.32% down so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been -0.17% down as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has dropped by -0.26%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.35%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.12% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced -0.2% fall so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.19%
Market risk sentiment is OFF, Investors seek safety, favoring safe-haven currencies and assets while selling off riskier investments.
Market Sentiment and Positioning
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is -10344 included 14032 long, 24376 short and 2550 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold USD for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 2550 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.
Retail Traders:
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
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We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
