-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Inflation Expectations3.4
- Retail Sales MoM0.6
- GDP Growth Rate4.4
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI51.9
- Services PMI 52.5
- Unemployment Rate4.4
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 0.2Inflation Rate MoM
- Inflation Expectations
- 0Retail Sales MoM
- 1.2GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 50.1Manufacturing PMI
- 52Services PMI
- 5.1Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2026-01-31 03:47 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot:
S1:
S2:
S3:
R1:
R2:
R3:
USDCNY, Retail traders Sentiment
USDCNY, Retails Liquidity history
>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous -6,418
Current -4,405
Changes +2013 31%Net Positions:
Previous 0
Current 0
Changes + %
Licensed User access
Base: USD
Interest rate: 3.75%
U.S. 10Y Bonds: 4.241 , chg: 0.014 (0.330%)
Fundamental Bias: Neutral --
Fundamental Score: 10
COT POS: USD: -4405 pos, last change: 31% (2013 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: %
Retail trader Sell position:
Retail trader Sell volume: lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (): 0
Quote: CNY
Interest rate: 3%
Bonds, China 10Y: 1.804 , chg: -0.014 (-0.770%)
Fundamental Bias: 0 0
Fundamental Score: 0
Retail Long pos ratio: %
Retail trader Long position:
Retail trader Buy volume: lot
Distance to Support S4 (): 0
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Neutral
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
Bullish
People's Bank of China (PBOC) rate: 3%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: May 20, 2025 (-10bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y2.7
- Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Producer Prices Change3
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.2
- Consumer Price Index CPI324
- Inflation Expectations3.4
- Retail Sales MoM0.6
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.7
- GDP Growth Rate4.4
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI51.9
- Services PMI 52.5
- Non Manufacturing PMI54.4
- Unemployment Rate4.4
- Employment Rate59.7
- Initial Jobless Claims209
- Non Farm Payrolls50
- Average Hourly Earnings0.3
- ADP Employment Change41
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence56.4
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE12
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 0.8CPI y/y
- 0.2Inflation Rate MoM
- 0Producer Prices Change
- 0.2Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 104Consumer Price Index CPI
- Inflation Expectations
- 0Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 1.2GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 50.1Manufacturing PMI
- 52Services PMI
- 50.2Non Manufacturing PMI
- 5.1Unemployment Rate
- Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 114Balance of Trade
- 90.3Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 9TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the base currency is outperforming the quote currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to buy the pair. This positive outlook, driven by the base currency's strength versus the quote currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of buying activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
USDCNY Analysis
Introduction
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve policy is Dovish with the (FED) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the People's Bank of China policy is Dovish and (PBOC) has set its interest rate to 3% by latest change, May 20, 2025 (-10bp).
(FED) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in USD. This tends to attract foreign capital into USD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of USD is -- Neutral
Ziwox considering Moderate Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for USD is 10. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "Sydney & Tokyo", Market risk sentiment is Strong Risk-OFF. The United States Dollar and British pound recorded the strongest performance, while the Gold and Australian dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a -10% decrease against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been -1% down so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been -0.91% down as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has dropped by -1.19%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.93%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -1.07% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced -1.14% fall so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.94%
Market risk sentiment is OFF, Investors seek safety, favoring safe-haven currencies and assets while selling off riskier investments.
Market Sentiment and Positioning
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is -4405 included 17945 long, 22350 short and 2013 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold USD for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 2013 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.
Retail Traders:
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
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We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
