-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0.5
- Inflation Expectations3.5
- Retail Sales MoM0.9
- GDP Growth Rate1.6
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI55.1
- Services PMI 50.7
- Unemployment Rate4.3
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- Inflation Expectations
- 0Retail Sales MoM
- 1.3GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 51.8Manufacturing PMI
- 54.4Services PMI
- 5.1Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2026-06-20 13:33 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot:
S1:
S2:
S3:
R1:
R2:
R3:
USDCNY, Retail traders Sentiment
USDCNY, Retails Liquidity history
>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous 3,758
Current 1,384
Changes -2374 -63%Net Positions:
Previous 0
Current 0
Changes + %
Licensed User access
Base: USD
Interest rate: 3.75%
U.S. 10Y Bonds: 4.488 , chg: 0.025 (0.560%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Strong
Fundamental Score: 9
COT POS: USD: 1384 pos, last change: -63% (-2374 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: %
Retail trader Sell position:
Retail trader Sell volume: lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (): 0
Quote: CNY
Interest rate: 3%
Bonds, China 10Y: 1.752 , chg: -0.001 (-0.060%)
Fundamental Bias: 0 0
Fundamental Score: 0
Retail Long pos ratio: %
Retail trader Long position:
Retail trader Buy volume: lot
Distance to Support S4 (): 0
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Strong
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
Bullish
People's Bank of China (PBOC) rate: 3%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: May 20, 2025 (-10bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y4.2
- Inflation Rate MoM0.5
- Producer Prices Change6.5
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.2
- Consumer Price Index CPI335
- Inflation Expectations3.5
- Retail Sales MoM0.9
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.4
- GDP Growth Rate1.6
- GDP m/m
- Manufacturing PMI55.1
- Services PMI 50.7
- Non Manufacturing PMI54.5
- Unemployment Rate4.3
- Employment Rate59.2
- Initial Jobless Claims226
- Non Farm Payrolls172
- Average Hourly Earnings0.3
- ADP Employment Change122
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence48.9
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE7
-
- 3Interest Rate
- 1.2CPI y/y
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 3.9Producer Prices Change
- 0Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 101Consumer Price Index CPI
- Inflation Expectations
- 0Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 1.3GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 51.8Manufacturing PMI
- 54.4Services PMI
- 50.1Non Manufacturing PMI
- 5.1Unemployment Rate
- Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 105Balance of Trade
- 89Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 3TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the base currency is outperforming the quote currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to buy the pair. This positive outlook, driven by the base currency's strength versus the quote currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of buying activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
USDCNY Analysis
Introduction
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve policy is Dovish with the (FED) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the People's Bank of China policy is Dovish and (PBOC) has set its interest rate to 3% by latest change, May 20, 2025 (-10bp).
(FED) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in USD. This tends to attract foreign capital into USD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of USD is Strong Bullish
Ziwox considering Strong Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
mid-term Fundamental Score for USD is 9. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "London & New York", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The British pound and EUR recorded the strongest performance, while the Gold and Switzerland Frank are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a -0.7% decrease against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.05% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.23% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.02%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.29%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.01% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced -0.29% fall so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.08%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is 1384 included 27908 long, 26524 short and -2374 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought USD for higher prices in long-term.
Last week -2374 repositioning Indicates closing positions, short-term profit-taking, or a general pessimism about prices.
Retail Traders:
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
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