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Central Bank Decisions

Interest Rates Impact on Forex Pairs and assets

Interest rates play a crucial role in forex pair prices by affecting the returns on investments in various currencies. Higher interest rates attract foreign capital, boosting the currency's value, while lower rates can lead to depreciation. Traders keep a close eye on central bank meetings for clues about potential rate changes, as these decisions directly impact currency valuations. Central banks consider key economic indicators such as inflation, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), labor market conditions, and earnings reports when setting interest rates. These factors provide insights into the economy's health and guide monetary policy. Additionally, major banks and institutions often hold positions overnight to profit from swap rates and interest rate differences, making interest rate trends particularly important. This is why traders diligently monitor central bank interest rate changes and their decisions.

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Central Banks Interest Rates

Central Bank Rate Policy Implied BP change Probable Move Probability Next meeting Last change
  Federal Reserve (FED)   4.00% Dovish -48.54 Cut 1 step interest rate cut probability Wednesday 10th of December 2025 Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)
  Bank of England (BOE)   4.00% Dovish -16.37 Hold Thursday 6th of November 2025 Aug 07, 2025 (-25bp)
  Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)   3.60% Dovish -22.08 Cut Tuesday 4th of November 2025 Aug 12, 2025 (-25bp)
  People's Bank of China (PBOC)   3.00% Dovish 0 Hold Friday 31st of October 2025 May 20, 2025 (-10bp)
  Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)   2.50% Dovish -24.48 Cut Wednesday 26th of November 2025 Oct 08, 2025 (-50bp)
  Bank of Canada (BOC)   2.25% Dovish -31.5 Cut 1 step interest rate cut probability Wednesday 10th of December 2025 Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)
  European Central Bank (ECB)   2.15% Dovish -1.49 Hold Thursday 30th of October 2025 Jun 05, 2025 (-25bp)
  Bank of Japan (BOJ)   0.50% Hawkish 11.61 Hold Thursday 30th of October 2025 Jan 24, 2025 (25bp)
  Swiss National Bank (SNB)   0.00% Dovish -2.48 Hold Thursday 11th of December 2025 Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp)

Government Bonds

Name Yield Change Change %
  U.S. 10Y 4.106 0.009 0.220
  CA 10Y 3.140 0.008 0.260
  U.K 10Y 4.430 0.002 0.050
  DE 10Y 2.648 0.011 0.400
  IT 10Y 3.398 0.005 0.150
  AU 10Y 4.314 -0.001 -0.020
  NZ 10Y 4.093 -0.015 -0.370
  JP 10Y 1.654 0.001 0.060
  CH 10Y 0.149 0.000 0.000
  CN 10Y 1.745 -0.017 -0.960
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