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Central Bank Decisions

Interest Rates Impact on Forex Pairs and assets

Interest rates play a crucial role in forex pair prices by affecting the returns on investments in various currencies. Higher interest rates attract foreign capital, boosting the currency's value, while lower rates can lead to depreciation. Traders keep a close eye on central bank meetings for clues about potential rate changes, as these decisions directly impact currency valuations. Central banks consider key economic indicators such as inflation, the Consumer Price Index (CPI), labor market conditions, and earnings reports when setting interest rates. These factors provide insights into the economy's health and guide monetary policy. Additionally, major banks and institutions often hold positions overnight to profit from swap rates and interest rate differences, making interest rate trends particularly important. This is why traders diligently monitor central bank interest rate changes and their decisions.

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Central Banks Interest Rates

Central Bank Rate Policy Implied BP change Probable Move Probability Next meeting Last change
    Federal Reserve (FED) 3.75% Dovish -21.34 Cut Monday 26th of January 2026 Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
    Bank of England (BOE) 3.75% Dovish -22.79 Hold Thursday 18th of December 2025 Dec 18, 2025 (-25bp)
    Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) 3.60% Dovish -0.06 Hold Tuesday 3rd of February 2026 Aug 12, 2025 (-25bp)
    People's Bank of China (PBOC) 3.00% Dovish 0 Hold Friday 19th of December 2025 May 20, 2025 (-10bp)
    Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) 2.25% Dovish -1.75 Cut Wednesday 18th of February 2026 Nov 26, 2025 (-25bp)
    Bank of Canada (BOC) 2.25% Dovish -2.51 Hold Monday 19th of January 2026 Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)
    European Central Bank (ECB) 2.15% Dovish -0.21 Hold Thursday 18th of December 2025 Jun 05, 2025 (-25bp)
    Bank of Japan (BOJ) 0.75% Hawkish 19.09 Hold Friday 19th of December 2025 Dec 19, 2025 (25bp)
    Swiss National Bank (SNB) 0.00% Dovish -0.69 Hold Thursday 11th of December 2025 Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp)

Government Bonds

Name Yield Change Change %
  U.S. 10Y 4.151 0.035 0.850
  CA 10Y 3.469 0.057 1.670
  U.K 10Y 4.529 0.046 1.030
  DE 10Y 2.893 0.043 1.520
  IT 10Y 3.547 0.048 1.370
  AU 10Y 4.763 0.017 0.360
  NZ 10Y 4.520 -0.035 -0.770
  JP 10Y 2.023 0.052 2.640
  CH 10Y 0.334 0.022 7.050
  CN 10Y 1.822 0.024 1.330
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