-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Inflation Expectations3.7
- Retail Sales MoM0.2
- GDP Growth Rate1.5
- Manufacturing PMI53.8
- Services PMI 53.6
- Unemployment Rate4.2
-
- 0Interest Rate
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 1.24Inflation Expectations
- 0.2Retail Sales MoM
- 0.4GDP Growth Rate
- 54.3Manufacturing PMI
- 59.8Services PMI
- 2.9Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2026-08-02 22:57 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Sell
Nutral
Sell
Sell
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 0.80832
S1: 0.80373
S2: 0.80017
S3: 0.79558
R1: 0.81188
R2: 0.81647
R3: 0.82003
USDCHF, Retail traders Sentiment
USDCHF, Retails Liquidity history
>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous 15,614
Current 17,197
Changes +1583 10%>Swiss Franc
Net Positions:
Previous -34,242
Current -33,462
Changes +780 2%
Licensed User access
Base: USD
Interest rate: 3.75%
Bonds: 0 , chg: 0 (0%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Strong
Fundamental Score: -10
COT POS: USD: 17197 pos, last change: 10% (1583 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 15%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (0.81655): 0.00959
Quote: CHF
Bonds, : 0 , chg: 0 (0%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Strong
Fundamental Score: 2
COT POS: CHF: -33462 pos, last change: 2% (780 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 85%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (0.80125): 0.00571
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bullish Strong
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
Bearish Strong
Swiss National Bank (SNB) rate: 0%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y3.5
- Inflation Rate MoM0
- Producer Prices Change5.5
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0
- Consumer Price Index CPI334
- Inflation Expectations3.7
- Retail Sales MoM0.2
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.2
- GDP Growth Rate1.5
- Manufacturing PMI53.8
- Services PMI 53.6
- Non Manufacturing PMI54
- Unemployment Rate4.2
- Employment Rate59
- Initial Jobless Claims197
- Non Farm Payrolls57
- Average Hourly Earnings0.3
- ADP Employment Change98
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence55.2
- TOTAL SCORE-7
-
- 0Interest Rate
- 0.5CPI y/y
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 0Producer Prices Change
- 101Consumer Price Index CPI
- 1.24Inflation Expectations
- 0.2Retail Sales MoM
- 0.4GDP Growth Rate
- 54.3Manufacturing PMI
- 59.8Services PMI
- 2.9Unemployment Rate
- 79.3Employment Rate
- 5537Non Farm Payrolls
- 3800Balance of Trade
- 0Consumer Confidence
- -1TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the quote currency is outperforming the base currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to sell the pair. This pessimism outlook, driven by the quote currency's strength versus the base currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of selling activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) is the official currency of Switzerland and is considered one of the safest currencies in the world. Due to Switzerland’s political stability, strong banking system, and solid economic foundation, the CHF is viewed as a safe-haven currency, often strengthening during periods of geopolitical instability or financial crisis. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is responsible for setting the country’s monetary policy. The price of the CHF is influenced by factors such as interest rates, inflation, and the country's trade balance. Additionally, the Franc tends to correlate with global risk sentiment, appreciating when investors seek safety in times of market turbulence. The CHF also sees price movements in relation to the Euro, given Switzerland's proximity to the Eurozone.
USDCHF Analysis
Introduction
The USD/CHF is another safe-haven pair, with the Swiss Franc often seen as a hedge during periods of market instability. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) plays a significant role in managing its currency’s strength. Geopolitical uncertainty, especially in Europe, often results in a stronger CHF. The pair is impacted by US economic data (interest rates, inflation) and Swiss economic stability. The USD/CHF is also correlated with gold prices, as Switzerland is a major gold trading hub.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Federal Reserve policy is Dovish with the (FED) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Swiss National Bank policy is Dovish and (SNB) has set its interest rate to 0% by latest change, Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp).
(FED) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in USD. This tends to attract foreign capital into USD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of USD is Strong Bullish and for the CHF is Strong Bearish.
Ziwox considering Strong Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
mid-term Fundamental Score for USD is -10. and Fundamental Score for CHF is 2. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term downside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "Sydney", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Gold and Yen recorded the strongest performance, while the United States Dollar and Canadian Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.34% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.18% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.12% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.25%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has risen by 0.18%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced 0.25% rise
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.06% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has gained 0.04%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is 17197 included 35339 long, 18142 short and 1583 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought USD for higher prices in long-term.
Last week 1583 repositioning Indicates that they are optimistic about higher prices in mid-term.
CHF COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Swiss Franc is -33462 included 10117 long, 43579 short and 780 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold CHF for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 780 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the USDCHF with 85% 15% ratio. 0 long pos and 0 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability USDCHF prices may decrease.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
The USDCHF pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 0.80125.
Technical trend is Sell, So If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a significant area to watch for potential reversal or consolidation.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 0.81655. Technically, If the pair continues to the upside, this resistance level could become a significant area to watch for sell entery potential.
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Our forecasts, signals, and trade opportunities are provided to help you stay informed, but we do not take responsibility for any potential losses.
Additionally, we do not offer financial or investment advice in this section of the website.
Before engaging in foreign currency trading, its important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
