GBPAUD Analysis

Introduction

The GBP/AUD is influenced by UK economic data, especially as it relates to Brexit, and Australian economic performance, particularly in the commodity sector. The pair is also influenced by global risk sentiment, with the GBP typically strengthening when the UK economy performs well and the AUD benefiting from rising commodity prices.

Fundamentals and Interest Rates

The Bank of England policy is Dovish with the (BOE) current Interest rate 4%. Latest change was Aug 07, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Reserve Bank of Australia policy is Dovish and (RBA) has set its interest rate to 3.6% by latest change, Aug 12, 2025 (-25bp).
(BOE) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in GBP. This tends to attract foreign capital into GBP assets.

Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of GBP is Weak Bullish and for the AUD is Weak Bullish.
Ziwox considering Neutral bias for this asset and we predict side movement in the long-term.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for GBP is -1. and Fundamental Score for AUD is 2. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term downside price movement.

Market Overview & Performance

In the current trading session, "New York", Market risk sentiment is Strong Risk-OFF. The United States Dollar and Yen recorded the strongest performance, while the Gold and New Zealand Dollar are weakest so far.

Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a -1.21% decrease against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been -0.37% down so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been -0.23% down as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has dropped by -0.31%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.41%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced -0.14% fall
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced -0.26% fall so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.26%
Market risk sentiment is OFF, Investors seek safety, favoring safe-haven currencies and assets while selling off riskier investments.

Market Sentiment and Positioning

GBP COT (Commitments of Traders):

Institutions Net Position on >British Pound is -1964 included 84500 long, 86464 short and 4616 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold GBP for lower prices in long-term.
Last week 4616 repositioning Indicates closed positions and short-term profit-taking.

AUD COT (Commitments of Traders):

Institutions Net Position on >Australian Dollar is -59590 included 41994 long, 101584 short and -8430 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold AUD for lower prices in long-term.
Last week -8430 repositioning Indicates more sell positions and price pressure in short-term.

Retail Traders:

Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the GBPAUD with 85% 15% ratio. 6712 long pos and 1076 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability GBPAUD prices may decrease.

Technical Levels and Support/Resistance

The GBPAUD pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 1.98600.
Technical trend is Sell, So If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a significant area to watch for potential reversal or consolidation.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 2.02986. Technically, If the pair continues to the upside, this resistance level could become a significant area to watch for sell entery potential.