-
- Interest Rate3.75
- Inflation Rate MoM0.1
- Inflation Expectations3.4
- Retail Sales MoM1
- GDP Growth Rate0.6
- GDP m/m0.1
- Manufacturing PMI52.8
- Services PMI 51.8
- Unemployment Rate4.9
-
- 3.75Interest Rate
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 3.7Inflation Expectations
- 0.2Retail Sales MoM
- 1.5GDP Growth Rate
- 53.8Manufacturing PMI
- 53.6Services PMI
- 4.2Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
- 2026-08-02 22:59 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 1.34569
S1: 1.34190
S2: 1.33624
S3: 1.33245
R1: 1.35135
R2: 1.35514
R3: 1.36080
GBPUSD, Retail traders Sentiment
GBPUSD, Retails Liquidity history
>British Pound
Net Positions:
Previous -55,561
Current -64,814
Changes -9253 -17%>U.S. Dollar Index
Net Positions:
Previous 15,614
Current 17,197
Changes +1583 10%
Licensed User access
Base: GBP
Interest rate: 3.75%
Bonds: 0 , chg: 0 (0%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Moderate
Fundamental Score: 0
COT POS: GBP: -64814 pos, last change: -17% (-9253 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 58%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (1.35652): 0.00708
Quote: USD
Interest rate: 3.75%
Bonds, : 0 , chg: 0 (0%)
Fundamental Bias: Bullish Strong
Fundamental Score: -10
COT POS: USD: 17197 pos, last change: 10% (1583 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 42%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (1.33231): 0.01713
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bearish Moderate
Bank of England (BOE) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 18, 2025 (-25bp)
Bullish Strong
Federal Reserve (FED) rate: 3.75%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate3.75
- CPI y/y2.6
- Inflation Rate MoM0.1
- Producer Prices Change3.5
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0.3
- Consumer Price Index CPI142
- Inflation Expectations3.4
- Retail Sales MoM1
- Core Producer Prices MoM0.5
- GDP Growth Rate0.6
- GDP m/m0.1
- Manufacturing PMI52.8
- Services PMI 51.8
- Unemployment Rate4.9
- Employment Rate75.1
- Non Farm Payrolls0
- Balance of Trade0
- Consumer Confidence0
- TOTAL SCORE-1
-
- 3.75Interest Rate
- 3.5CPI y/y
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 5.5Producer Prices Change
- 0Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 334Consumer Price Index CPI
- 3.7Inflation Expectations
- 0.2Retail Sales MoM
- 0.2Core Producer Prices MoM
- 1.5GDP Growth Rate
- 53.8Manufacturing PMI
- 53.6Services PMI
- 54Non Manufacturing PMI
- 4.2Unemployment Rate
- 59Employment Rate
- 197Initial Jobless Claims
- 57Non Farm Payrolls
- 0.3Average Hourly Earnings
- 98ADP Employment Change
- 0Balance of Trade
- 55.2Consumer Confidence
- -7TOTAL SCORE
According to economic data, the base currency is outperforming the quote currency due to stronger economic indicators, encouraging traders to buy the pair. This positive outlook, driven by the base currency's strength versus the quote currency's weakness, increases the likelihood of buying activity to profit from this divergence.
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The British Pound (GBP), the official currency of the United Kingdom, is one of the oldest currencies still in use. The Pound is the fourth most traded currency globally, and its value is heavily influenced by the economic health of the UK. Important price drivers for GBP include the monetary policy of the Bank of England (BoE), inflation, unemployment rates, and political events, including those related to Brexit. The GBP is highly correlated with the EUR and USD, often moving in similar patterns in relation to global economic events. The pound tends to strengthen when the UK economy shows signs of growth and political stability, while it weakens amid uncertainty or economic downturns. The GBP's price is also impacted by trade relations, especially those involving the EU and major global partners.
The US Dollar (USD) is the most widely traded currency in the world and the primary reserve currency. It is the official currency of the United States and is often seen as the global standard for trade and investment. The USD’s price is influenced by the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, inflation levels, and interest rates. Its dominance in global trade makes it highly correlated with other major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Key impact parameters for the USD include US economic growth (GDP), job market conditions, consumer spending, and the Fed’s policy decisions. As a safe-haven currency, the USD often rises during periods of global risk aversion. Its price is also sensitive to geopolitical events, such as US government policy changes and international conflicts.
GBPUSD Analysis
Introduction
The GBP/USD, also known as “Cable,” is another major pair, reflecting the economic relationship between the UK and the US. The price of the pair is driven by the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy, as well as political events like Brexit. The GBP/USD is highly sensitive to changes in UK economic data (inflation, GDP) and US economic performance. It tends to move in line with global risk sentiment, with a tendency for volatility during UK political events. This pair also shows a strong correlation with EUR/USD.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Bank of England policy is Dovish with the (BOE) current Interest rate 3.75%. Latest change was Dec 18, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Federal Reserve policy is Dovish and (FED) has set its interest rate to 3.75% by latest change, Dec 10, 2025 (-25bp).
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of GBP is Moderate Bearish and for the USD is Strong Bullish.
Ziwox considering Strong Bearish bias for this asset and we expect prices to decline in the long-term. and Fundamental Score for USD is -10. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "Sydney", Market risk sentiment is Mix. The Gold and Yen recorded the strongest performance, while the United States Dollar and Canadian Dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a 0.34% increase against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.18% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.12% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has risen by 0.25%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has risen by 0.18%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced 0.25% rise
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.06% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has gained 0.04%
Market Sentiment and Positioning
GBP COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >British Pound is -64814 included 61458 long, 126272 short and -9253 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold GBP for lower prices in long-term.
Last week -9253 repositioning Indicates more sell positions and price pressure in short-term.
USD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >U.S. Dollar Index is 17197 included 35339 long, 18142 short and 1583 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bullish view on this asset and bought USD for higher prices in long-term.
Last week 1583 repositioning Indicates that they are optimistic about higher prices in mid-term.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the GBPUSD with 42% 58% ratio. 0 long pos and 0 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability GBPUSD prices may continue to rise.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
The GBPUSD pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 1.33231.
Technical trend is BUY, If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a good area to enter a long positions.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 1.35652. Technically, A break above this resistance could signal a shift in momentum, but need to get a confirmation in this area due to the reversal or correction potential.
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Our forecasts, signals, and trade opportunities are provided to help you stay informed, but we do not take responsibility for any potential losses.
Additionally, we do not offer financial or investment advice in this section of the website.
Before engaging in foreign currency trading, its important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
