-
- Interest Rate2.25
- Inflation Rate MoM0.1
- Inflation Expectations4
- Retail Sales MoM0
- GDP Growth Rate0.6
- GDP m/m0
- Manufacturing PMI48.4
- Services PMI 44.3
- Unemployment Rate6.5
-
- 0Interest Rate
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 0.73Inflation Expectations
- 0.7Retail Sales MoM
- 0GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 49.7Manufacturing PMI
- 45.3Services PMI
- 2.9Unemployment Rate
Day Trading
Short Term/Scalp Opportunity
Waiting for confirmations
Swing Trading
Long Term Opportunity
Long at major support areas.
✅
Fundamental Bias is Bullish
✅
Forecast is Bullish
✅
Trend is Buy
Dynamic supports at S3 (0.57339) and S4 (0.57339) could be apropos entries
- 2025-12-16 10:30 UTCRISK-OFF: Investors become risk-averse, favoring safer assets during uncertain or negative market conditions
Risk-ON: Investors are willing to take risks, often seen during positive market sentiment. They may invest in higher-risk assets
MIX: Risky/Safe assets trades together
| R1: | S1: | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| R2: | S2: | ||
| R3: | S3: | ||
| R4: | S4: |
Daily:
H1:
M30:
M5:
Signal
Buy
Neutral
Sell
Sell
waiting...
Pivot Points
Pivot: 0.57808
S1: 0.57682
S2: 0.57556
S3: 0.57430
R1: 0.57934
R2: 0.58060
R3: 0.58186
CADCHF, Retail traders Sentiment
CADCHF, Retails Liquidity history
>Canadian Dollar
Net Positions:
Previous -149,099
Current -150,414
Changes -1315 -1%>Swiss Franc
Net Positions:
Previous -32,185
Current -35,360
Changes -3175 -10%
Licensed User access
Base: CAD
Interest rate: 2.25%
Canada 10Y Bonds: 3.421 , chg: -0.022 (-0.640%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Weak
Fundamental Score: 6
COT POS: CAD: -150414 pos, last change: -1% (-1315 contracts)
Retail Short pos ratio: 7%
Retail trader Sell position: 0
Retail trader Sell volume: 0 lot
Distance to Resistance R4 (0.58278): 0.0050
Quote: CHF
Bonds, Switzerland 10Y: 0.286 , chg: -0.002 (-0.690%)
Fundamental Bias: Bearish Moderate
Fundamental Score: -1
COT POS: CHF: -35360 pos, last change: -10% (-3175 contracts)
Retail Long pos ratio: 93%
Retail trader Long position: 0
Retail trader Buy volume: 0 lot
Distance to Support S4 (0.57339): 0.0044
Forecast by Ziwox AI
Bearish Weak
Bank of Canada (BOC) rate: 2.25%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)
Bearish Moderate
Swiss National Bank (SNB) rate: 0%
Monetary Policy: Dovish Last change: Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp)
Economic compare
-
- Interest Rate2.25
- CPI y/y2.2
- Inflation Rate MoM0.1
- Producer Prices Change6
- Core Inflation Rate MoM0
- Consumer Price Index CPI165
- Inflation Expectations4
- Retail Sales MoM0
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- GDP Growth Rate0.6
- GDP m/m0
- Manufacturing PMI48.4
- Services PMI 44.3
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- Unemployment Rate6.5
- Employment Rate60.9
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Non Farm Payrolls18230
- Average Hourly Earnings38.01
- ADP Employment Change
- Balance of Trade150
- Consumer Confidence47.4
- Government Bond 10Y
- TOTAL SCORE-1
-
- 0Interest Rate
- 0CPI y/y
- 0Inflation Rate MoM
- 0Producer Prices Change
- Core Inflation Rate MoM
- 107Consumer Price Index CPI
- 0.73Inflation Expectations
- 0.7Retail Sales MoM
- Core Producer Prices MoM
- 0GDP Growth Rate
- GDP m/m
- 49.7Manufacturing PMI
- 45.3Services PMI
- Non Manufacturing PMI
- 2.9Unemployment Rate
- 79.8Employment Rate
- Initial Jobless Claims
- 5532Non Farm Payrolls
- Average Hourly Earnings
- ADP Employment Change
- 2624Balance of Trade
- 0Consumer Confidence
- Government Bond 10Y
- 0TOTAL SCORE
Bullish points
Bullish points
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
Bearish points
- Dovish Monetary Policy
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is the currency of Canada, and it is often referred to as the "Loonie" due to the loon bird depicted on the one-dollar coin. The CAD is heavily correlated with commodity prices, particularly oil, as Canada is one of the world’s largest oil exporters. The price of crude oil directly impacts the CAD’s value, making it a commodity-linked currency. The Bank of Canada (BoC) controls the monetary policy for the CAD. Other key price drivers for the CAD include interest rates, inflation data, and Canada’s trade balance. Economic growth in the US, as Canada’s primary trading partner, also affects the CAD, with stronger US demand often supporting a stronger Canadian Dollar. Fluctuations in global oil prices remain the most significant impact factor for the CAD.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) is the official currency of Switzerland and is considered one of the safest currencies in the world. Due to Switzerland’s political stability, strong banking system, and solid economic foundation, the CHF is viewed as a safe-haven currency, often strengthening during periods of geopolitical instability or financial crisis. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is responsible for setting the country’s monetary policy. The price of the CHF is influenced by factors such as interest rates, inflation, and the country's trade balance. Additionally, the Franc tends to correlate with global risk sentiment, appreciating when investors seek safety in times of market turbulence. The CHF also sees price movements in relation to the Euro, given Switzerland's proximity to the Eurozone.
CADCHF Analysis
Introduction
The CAD/CHF reflects the relationship between the Canadian economy, which is heavily reliant on oil exports, and the Swiss economy, known for its political stability and financial services sector. This pair is influenced by the price of oil, as Canada is a major oil exporter. The Bank of Canada (BoC) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) impact the pair through their monetary policies. The CAD/CHF also responds to global risk sentiment, with the CAD appreciating when oil prices rise, while the CHF tends to strengthen during periods of market uncertainty. Economic data from Canada (especially oil-related) and Switzerland’s economic stability are key drivers.
Fundamentals and Interest Rates
The Bank of Canada policy is Dovish with the (BOC) current Interest rate 2.25%. Latest change was Oct 29, 2025 (-25bp)%.
On that side the Swiss National Bank policy is Dovish and (SNB) has set its interest rate to 0% by latest change, Jun 19, 2025 (-25bp).
(BOC) Higher interest rates generally lead to higher returns on investments denominated in CAD. This tends to attract foreign capital into CAD assets.
Based on the economic and macro fundamental data, The Fundamental Bias of CAD is Weak Bearish and for the CHF is Moderate Bearish.
Ziwox considering Weak Bullish bias for this asset and we anticipate long-term price increases.
Our Ziwox A, mid-term Fundamental Score for CAD is 6. and Fundamental Score for CHF is -1. So, base on the Fundamental Score, we predict mid-term upside price movement.
Market Overview & Performance
In the current trading session, "London", Market risk sentiment is Classic Risk-OFF. The British pound and Yen recorded the strongest performance, while the Gold and Australian dollar are weakest so far.
Currencies performance vs US dollar "USD"
Gold "XAU", recorded a -0.62% decrease against us dollar.
Euro "EUR", performance has been 0.02% up so far
Pond "GBP", performance has been 0.21% up as of now
Australian dollar "AUD", has dropped by -0.08%
New Zealand dollar "NZD", has dropped by -0.04%
Japanese YEN "JPY", experienced 0.03% rise
Swiss franc "CHF", experienced 0.01% rise so far
Canadian dollar "CAD", has lost -0.06%
Market risk sentiment is OFF, Investors seek safety, favoring safe-haven currencies and assets while selling off riskier investments.Due to the market risk sentiment, CADCHF price reduction is likely. Becasue investors become risk-averse from CAD, seeking safety amid uncertainty or market turmoil, leading to a sell-off in riskier assets and a flight to safe havens like the USD, JPY, and gold. Currencies tied to riskier economies (e.g., AUD, NZD) tend to weaken.
Market Sentiment and Positioning
CAD COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Canadian Dollar is -150414 included 21438 long, 171852 short and -1315 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold CAD for lower prices in long-term.
Last week -1315 repositioning Indicates more sell positions and price pressure in short-term.
CHF COT (Commitments of Traders):
Institutions Net Position on >Swiss Franc is -35360 included 7571 long, 42931 short and -3175 position changed from last week.
So they mainly have a bearish view on this asset and sold CHF for lower prices in long-term.
Last week -3175 repositioning Indicates more sell positions and price pressure in short-term.
Retail Traders:
Crowd traders or Retail traders are bullish on the CADCHF with 93% 7% ratio. 0 long pos and 0 short position.
We generally adopt a contrarian approach towards crowd sentiment and we give probability CADCHF prices may decrease.
Technical Levels and Support/Resistance
The CADCHF pair is approaching a critical technical support level near 0.57339.
Technical trend is BUY, If the pair continues to weaken, this support could become a good area to enter a long positions.
On the upside, there is key resistance near 0.58278. Technically, A break above this resistance could signal a shift in momentum, but need to get a confirmation in this area due to the reversal or correction potential.
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Before engaging in foreign currency trading, its important to carefully consider your own investment goals, experience level, and risk tolerance.
We want to emphasize that we cannot be held liable for any loss or damage, including potential profit loss, that may result from using or relying on this information. Your decisions are ultimately your own, and we encourage you to approach trading with caution and awareness.
